未来五年,中国仍将是全球经济增长的最大贡献者(中国未来五年规划)
未来五年，中国仍将是全球经济增长的最大贡献者。
据彭博社报道，受国际贸易紧张等因素的影响，预计未来五年世界上许多经济体的增长将放缓。未来五年，中国将成为全球经济增长的最大贡献者，印度将超越美国，成为第二大增长引擎。
根据国际货币基金组织的研究（IMF）根据购买力平价调整预测，列出了2024年全球经济增长前20大增长引擎。
图 via Bloomberg
Weaker global growth, expected to fall to 3% this year and the slowest since the global financial crisis, will affect 90% of the world, according to estimates released this week by the International Monetary Fund.
根据国际货币基金组织本周发布的世界经济预测报告，全球经济增长放缓将影响全球90%的地区。预计今年全球经济增速将降至3%，这是全球金融危机以来的最低水平。
▲These 20 countries will dominate global growth in 2024 (via The Economic Times)
This is the result of multiple factors, including the US-China trade war, geopolitical tensions, as well as Brexit-related risks, according to the IMF’s World Economic Outlook released earlier this week.
国际货币基金组织本周早些时候发布的《世界经济展望》显示，这是中美贸易战、地缘政治紧张局势、英国脱欧相关风险等多种因素的结果。
▲India set to eclipse US with global economic growth share by 2024 (via RT)
但国际货币基金组织的数据显示，预计短短5年内，印度将比美国更能促进全球经济增长。
India’s growth can outpace that of the US, Bloomberg reported, citing IMF estimates adjusted for purchasing power parity (PPP). In five years, the South Asian nation will account for 15.5 percent of global growth, jumping two percent from the current figures. Meanwhile, the US contribution is set to fall by more than 3.5 percent from its current 13.8 percent, to 9.2 percent.
彭博社援引国际货币基金组织根据购买力平价(PPP)根据调整后的估计，印度的增长可能超过美国。五年后，这个南亚国家将占全球经济增长的15.5%，比目前的数据增长2%。与此同时，美国的贡献将从13.8%下降到9.2%，下降到3.5%以上。
This week, the IMF cut India’s GDP growth forecast for 2019 to 6.1 percent, which is 1.2 percent lower than the body’s April projections. Despite the gloomier prognosis, the country’s finance minister argued on Thursday that the Indian economy is “still growing as the fastest,” although it remains far behind China.
本周，国际货币基金组织将于2019年在印度举行GDP增长预期降至6.1%，低于4月份组织预期的1.2%。尽管预期数据悲观，但印度财政部长周四表示，印度经济“还是增长最快的”，尽管仍远远落后于中国。
▲India set to eclipse US with global economic growth share by 2024 (via RT)
图 via AFP
此外，报告还提到中国仍将是世界经济增长无可争辩的最大贡献者。
China is set to remain the indisputable leader despite its share is set to fall from 32.7 percent in 2019 to 28.3 percent in 2024.
尽管中国对世界经济增长的贡献将从2019年的32.7%下降到2024年的28.3%，但它仍将是无可争辩的最大贡献者。
▲India set to eclipse US with global economic growth share by 2024 (via RT)
除此之外，俄罗斯、日本和英国对世界经济增长也有很大的影响。
Other changes in the top five include Russia pushing Japan off fifth place with its share of GDP growth expected to stay at its current level of two percent in 2024. Indonesia will remain in fourth place.
排名前五的国家发生了一些变化，包括俄罗斯将把日本从第五位挤下来，到2024年，俄罗斯将占据世界各地GDP目前预计增长份额将保持在2%。印尼仍将排名第四。
▲India set to eclipse US with global economic growth share by 2024 (via RT)
The U.K. will see its importance wane amid Brexit as its economy drops from ninth as a share of world growth in 2019, to 13th.
随着英国退出欧盟，其经济在全球经济增长中的比例将从2019年的第下降到第13位，英国的重要性将减弱。
Japan will fall to the ninth spot by 2024. Brazil is projected to move up from No. 11 to No. 6. Germany’s share of growth is expected to remain at 1.6% and 7th on the list.
到2024年，日本将跌至第九位。巴西的排名预计将从第11位上升到第6位。德国的增长率预计将保持在1.6%和第7位。
▲These 20 countries will dominate global growth in 2024 (via The Economic Times)
